On May 24, 2025, the MADFIGHT STADIUM in San Sebastián de los Reyes, near Madrid, will host one of the season’s most eagerly awaited boxing bouts: Matteo Gubinelli faces off against José Luis Navarro Jr. for the IBO International Super Middleweight Title.
This fight pits two hungry contenders against each other, both striving to make their mark on the international scene. It’s Italy versus Spain, contrasting styles, and two distinct career trajectories—technique versus aggression, experience versus raw determination.
Meet the Fighters
JOSÉ LUIS NAVARRO JR. – “EL CAZADOR JÚNIOR”
- Record: 14 wins, 2 losses (13 by KO)
- Age: 24
- Height: 191 cm
- Titles Held: IBF Mediterranean, EBU Silver
Navarro Jr. is coming off a strong comeback year in 2024. After suffering a second-round KO defeat to Gustave Tamba in November 2023, he rebounded impressively with four wins, including claiming the EBU Silver belt against Yoann Kongolo on home turf.
A long-reach technician with significant knockout power, Navarro Jr. favors maintaining distance and controlling the ring with sharp jabs. Fighting in front of a supportive crowd at the MADFIGHT STADIUM adds a psychological edge.
MATTEO GUBINELLI – ITALY’S RISING STAR
- Record: 11 wins, 1 loss
- Current Title: UBO International Champion
- Age: 25
Gubinelli has emerged as one of Italy’s brightest boxing talents. Having steadily climbed the ranks and defended his UBO title, he enters this bout as the underdog but with a fierce desire to upset the odds.
Known for relentless pressure and a high work rate, Gubinelli aims to break down Navarro’s defenses with body shots and constant aggression.
Tactical Breakdown: Style Clash
| Factor | Navarro Jr. | Gubinelli |
|---|---|---|
| Height | 191 cm | 183 cm |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Style | Technical, rangy, outside fighter | Aggressive, pressure fighter |
| Key Advantage | Experience and reach control | Stamina and forward pressure |
The outcome will hinge on who imposes their game plan: Navarro will try to keep Gubinelli at bay, while Gubinelli looks to close distance and engage in close quarters.
Predicted Outcomes & Probabilities
| Result Scenario | Estimated Probability |
|---|---|
| Navarro wins on points | 40% |
| Navarro wins by KO | 15% |
| Gubinelli wins on points | 25% |
| Gubinelli wins by KO | 15% |
| Draw or controversial decision | ⚪ 5% |
Note: The home advantage slightly favors Navarro in a close contest. Gubinelli must decisively dominate to sway the judges.
Potential Fight Scenarios
Navarro Controls and Wins a Decision
Navarro utilizes his jab and ring IQ to control pace and distance, frustrating Gubinelli’s advances and outpointing him over ten rounds.
Gubinelli Breaks Through for a Mid-Fight Stoppage
Applying relentless pressure and effective body work, Gubinelli could wear Navarro down and secure a TKO between rounds 5 and 7.
⚖️ Close Fight with an Unclear Outcome
Both fighters deliver exciting performances, but the decision is razor-thin—likely tilting toward Navarro at home, though controversy is possible.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Where is the fight taking place?
At MADFIGHT STADIUM, San Sebastián de los Reyes, Madrid, Spain.
When is the fight scheduled?
Friday, May 24, 2025.
What title is on the line?
The IBO International Super Middleweight Title (168 lbs / 76.2 kg).
How can I watch the fight?
Broadcast details are pending. Likely available on Spanish streaming platforms like DAZN Spain; Italian viewers may find online streaming options.
Who is the favorite?
Navarro Jr. holds a slight edge due to experience and home advantage, but Gubinelli’s momentum makes him a serious threat.
Final Thoughts
This bout is more than just a title fight—it’s a defining moment for both men. Navarro seeks to solidify his status, while Gubinelli aims to break out onto the bigger stage. The clash promises intensity, strategy, and raw heart.
Italy has hope, but it will be a battle to the last bell.
